Alton vs Redhill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
54.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABR
2 - 1
ALT
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 3
ALT
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 8
ALT
29%
20%
51%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 3
BAL
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COB
3 - 3
ALT
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Redhill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
ABR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RED
5 - 1
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
4 - 0
RED
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
TAD
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |