Alto Ara vs Alcala de Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+181%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alto Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 3
JHU
51%
20%
29%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AAR
3 - 3
POS
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AAR
2 - 0
UNI
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TEM
3 - 3
AAR
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 0
AAR
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Alcala de Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LAF
3 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AGU
5 - 0
TEM
79%
12%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 2
AGU
34%
21%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 2
TEM
83%
10%
7%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AYE
2 - 1
AGU
27%
20%
53%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |