Alfter vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 3
HIL
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 1
ALT
69%
16%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 0
ALT
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
WES
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MER
0 - 5
SIE
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
BER
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
VFL
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HER
6 - 1
MER
74%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BSC
2 - 3
MER
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |