Alfter vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
BSC
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EUR
4 - 2
ALT
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AAA
1 - 2
ALT
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
SVB
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BWF
3 - 0
ALT
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VFL
1 - 3
HUR
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 0
WES
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 2
BFR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BER
4 - 2
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 3
GEW
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |