Alqueidão Serra vs Moita do Boi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 1
ALQ
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
VIE
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 0
ALQ
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALV
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
ALQ
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Moita do Boi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MDB
6 - 0
PEL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
MDB
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MDB
1 - 0
CCA
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ADP
3 - 2
MDB
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LEM
0 - 0
MDB
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |