Alphense Boys vs HBC Heemstede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
16º
51
1º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 2
ALP
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 4
HOL
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HED
2 - 4
ALP
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
5 - 4
SJC
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 1
HOO
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
HBC Heemstede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
0 - 0
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HUI
3 - 2
SVH
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SVH
0 - 1
AJA
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SJC
3 - 1
SVH
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 0
DHS
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |