Alphense Boys vs HBS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
11º
56
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BEQ
4 - 1
ALP
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 1
HEI
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RKA
2 - 1
ALP
60%
20%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
4 - 3
RKV
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SJC
4 - 1
ALP
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HBS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
0 - 1
PUR
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 2
HBS
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
4 - 2
HOO
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VOC
1 - 2
HBS
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HBS
3 - 0
VKW
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |