Alone De Guardamar vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alone De Guardamar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 4
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
THA
0 - 1
CAM
35%
26%
40%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MUX
0 - 0
THA
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
THA
0 - 0
HOR
46%
26%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
THA
0 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
THA
39%
25%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |