Almudévar vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CFA
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CFA
3 - 3
EJE
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CFA
1 - 0
ICF
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 2
CFA
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CFA
2 - 2
TAR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UFC
2 - 0
ICF
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
UFC
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UFC
2 - 2
TAR
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
UFC
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UFC
1 - 0
CFV
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |