Tercera División RFEF XVII - Aragon Round 28

Almudévar vs Calamocha analysis

Almudévar Calamocha
30 ELO 30
-5.5% Tilt -11.2%
7556º General ELO ranking 6759º
343º Country ELO ranking 279º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Almudévar
24%
Draw
26.7%
Calamocha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Almudévar
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.7%
Win probability
Calamocha
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almudévar
-13%
+4%
Calamocha

Points and table prediction

Almudévar
Their league position
Calamocha
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
38
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Robres
60
60
100%
Huesca B
52
52
100%
Barbastro
51
51
100%
CDJ Tamarite
48
48
100%
Ejea
47
47
100%
Almudévar
45
45
100%
Illueca
45
45
100%
CF Epila
42
42
100%
CD Utrillas
40
40
100%
Calamocha
10º
38
38
10º
100%
CD Binéfar
11º
37
37
11º
0%
CD Cuarte
12º
37
37
12º
0%
Caspe
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Atlético Monzón
14º
29
29
14º
100%
CD Cariñena
15º
24
24
15º
100%
CD La Almunia
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Almudévar
Calamocha
Relegation
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Almudévar
Calamocha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almudévar
Almudévar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
CFA
Almudévar
3 - 2
CF Epila
EPI
44%
24%
32%
28 30 2 0
19 Mar. 2023
LAA
CD La Almunia
2 - 0
Almudévar
CFA
24%
23%
53%
30 20 10 -2
12 Mar. 2023
CFA
Almudévar
0 - 0
CD Utrillas
CDU
54%
22%
24%
30 28 2 0
05 Mar. 2023
CUA
CD Cuarte
2 - 2
Almudévar
CFA
35%
25%
40%
30 27 3 0
26 Feb. 2023
CFA
Almudévar
1 - 0
Barbastro
BAR
40%
24%
36%
29 33 4 +1

Matches

Calamocha
Calamocha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
CAL
Calamocha
1 - 0
Huesca B
HUE
19%
22%
59%
28 40 12 0
19 Mar. 2023
EPI
CF Epila
1 - 1
Calamocha
CAL
50%
25%
25%
28 30 2 0
12 Mar. 2023
CAL
Calamocha
0 - 0
Ejea
EJE
20%
22%
58%
27 38 11 +1
05 Mar. 2023
LAA
CD La Almunia
1 - 2
Calamocha
CAL
33%
25%
42%
27 20 7 0
26 Feb. 2023
CAL
Calamocha
1 - 1
Caspe
CAS
45%
25%
30%
27 27 0 0