Pref. Valenciana Group 4 Round 12

Almoradí vs Novelda CF analysis

Almoradí Novelda CF
13 ELO 11
-7.3% Tilt -14%
10705º General ELO ranking 11637º
796º Country ELO ranking 1227º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Almoradí
22.9%
Draw
28.4%
Novelda CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
Almoradí
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
Novelda CF
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almoradí
+28%
+41%
Novelda CF

ELO progression

Almoradí
Novelda CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almoradí
Almoradí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2022
CAL
CF Benidorm
2 - 1
Almoradí
ALM
77%
15%
8%
13 20 7 0
06 Nov. 2022
ALM
Almoradí
1 - 2
Carrús UD Ilicitana
UNI
37%
23%
40%
14 14 0 -1
30 Oct. 2022
THD
Thader
0 - 0
Almoradí
ALM
79%
14%
7%
13 21 8 +1
23 Oct. 2022
ALM
Almoradí
1 - 2
Santa Pola
SPO
39%
24%
37%
14 15 1 -1
16 Oct. 2022
ELD
Eldense B
1 - 2
Almoradí
ALM
88%
8%
3%
13 24 11 +1

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2022
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 2
Crevillente Deportivo
CRE
13%
22%
65%
12 25 13 0
06 Nov. 2022
VIJ
Villajoyosa
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
63%
19%
18%
11 13 2 +1
29 Oct. 2022
NOV
Novelda CF
0 - 0
Callosa Deportiva CF
CAL
11%
21%
68%
10 24 14 +1
23 Oct. 2022
ATL
Atlético Catral
2 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
84%
11%
4%
10 24 14 0
16 Oct. 2022
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 4
Murada
MUR
20%
21%
59%
11 16 5 -1