Almodôvar vs Cabeça Gorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almodôvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
ALM
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
REN
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
PIE
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PMI
1 - 1
ALM
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
SMA
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cabeça Gorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 1
PIE
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PMI
2 - 0
CAG
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
SMA
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 2
CAG
52%
22%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAB
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |