Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
STM
2 - 0
ALM
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
1 - 1
ARM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
BER
1 - 3
ALM
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
1 - 0
CAM
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
SUA
0 - 0
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DEF
0 - 0
SUA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
SUA
1 - 0
ESP
31%
26%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
STM
1 - 0
SUA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
SUA
1 - 1
TAL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |