Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
JJU
2 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
AND
28%
30%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
STM
37%
30%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 0
ALM
14%
25%
61%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
SMG
0 - 0
FEN
37%
29%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UAI
4 - 2
SMG
48%
30%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SMG
1 - 2
TAL
52%
27%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAD
0 - 2
SMG
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SMG
1 - 2
ARQ
58%
26%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |