Almirante Brown vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAI
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
ALM
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALM
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 2
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
IRV
0 - 0
DAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
IRV
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 0
RIE
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
IRV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
IRV
1 - 1
ALB
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |