Almirante Brown vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
ALM
31%
31%
38%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
CHA
57%
27%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 2
ALM
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
CEN
30%
30%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 0
ALM
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DYJ
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 1
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
INS
2 - 1
DYJ
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |