Segunda B Round 5

Almería vs Real Jaén analysis

Almería Real Jaén
55 ELO 53
0.6% Tilt 6.2%
192º General ELO ranking 4779º
23º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Almería
23.1%
Draw
15.6%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
Almería
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.6%
Win probability
Real Jaén
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería
+5%
-21%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Almería
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería
Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1994
CPC
CP Cacereño
0 - 4
Almería
ALM
43%
27%
30%
54 45 9 0
18 Sep. 1994
ALM
Almería
3 - 0
CD Manchego
MAN
81%
13%
6%
54 33 21 0
10 Sep. 1994
ALM
Almería
2 - 1
Betis Deportivo
BET
72%
18%
11%
53 46 7 +1
04 Sep. 1994
MEL
UD Melilla
3 - 1
Almería
ALM
32%
31%
37%
54 46 8 -1
01 May. 1994
ALM
Almería
2 - 1
UD Las Palmas
UDL
49%
26%
25%
53 59 6 +1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 1994
MAL
Málaga
1 - 3
Real Jaén
RJA
82%
14%
5%
52 74 22 0
25 Sep. 1994
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
UD Melilla
MEL
70%
20%
10%
53 47 6 -1
18 Sep. 1994
MMA
Mármol Macael
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
40%
31%
29%
53 46 7 0
10 Sep. 1994
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 2
Écija Balompié
ECI
65%
22%
13%
54 48 6 -1
04 Sep. 1994
SRQ
San Roque de Lepe
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
33%
32%
35%
54 43 11 0