Almería vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CDB
4 - 3
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALM
3 - 0
TER
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
EIB
2 - 0
ALM
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 0
UDL
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ALM
0 - 1
ZAR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
GET
1 - 1
NUM
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NUM
4 - 2
OVI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
COM
1 - 0
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NUM
4 - 2
RCF
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |