Almería vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALM
20%
24%
55%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 1
HUE
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
XER
0 - 1
ALM
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ELC
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 0
HER
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |