Almería vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALM
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 2
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
LEV
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
HER
2 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GET
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
VCF
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |