Almería vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
REC
1 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
LEV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 2
GET
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BET
3 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
VAD
38%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |