Almería vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LLE
1 - 0
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 1
MAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
REC
2 - 0
ALM
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ALM
0 - 1
GIM
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 1
RMC
31%
29%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAS
59%
24%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 0
REC
19%
29%
52%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GIM
1 - 1
CAS
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALB
18%
28%
55%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |