Almería vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALM
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALM
23%
26%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 2
ALM
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 1
ALM
79%
16%
5%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
FUE
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PON
0 - 2
CAR
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUG
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEG
3 - 1
CAR
79%
16%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPO
20%
28%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |