Almería vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ALM
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 1
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GET
2 - 2
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATH
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |