Almería vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 1
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
4 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MLL
2 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 1
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
4 - 0
MIR
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CDT
3 - 1
ALC
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ALC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
UDL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |