Tercera RFEF VIII - Castilla y León Jor. 19

SD Almazán vs Arandina analysis

SD Almazán Arandina
28 ELO 36
-7.8% Tilt -15.8%
9632º General ELO ranking 5419º
412º Country ELO ranking 175º
ELO win probability
30.1%
SD Almazán
24.9%
Draw
45%
Arandina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
SD Almazán
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45%
Win probability
Arandina
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SD Almazán
+3%
+42%
Arandina

Points and table prediction

SD Almazán
Their league position
Arandina
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
13º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arandina
68
68
100%
Atl. Astorga
61
61
100%
Salamanca UDS
53
53
100%
Real Ávila
50
50
0%
Atlético Tordesillas
50
50
0%
SD Almazán
47
47
100%
La Virgen del Camino
45
45
100%
Ponferradina B
39
39
100%
Mirandés B
38
38
100%
Atl. Bembibre
10º
35
35
10º
0%
Becerril
11º
35
35
11º
0%
Palencia CF
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Júpiter Leonés
13º
33
33
13º
100%
UD Santa Marta
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Unami CP
15º
24
24
15º
100%
Numancia B
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SD Almazán
Arandina
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SD Almazán
Arandina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Almazán
SD Almazán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
AST
Atl. Astorga
3 - 1
SD Almazán
SDA
55%
23%
23%
30 32 2 0
22 Jan. 2023
SDA
SD Almazán
2 - 1
Salamanca UDS
SAL
32%
26%
43%
27 36 9 +3
14 Jan. 2023
NUM
Numancia B
2 - 0
SD Almazán
SDA
24%
24%
53%
30 19 11 -3
08 Jan. 2023
BEC
Becerril
2 - 1
SD Almazán
SDA
20%
24%
56%
31 20 11 -1
17 Dec. 2022
SDA
SD Almazán
2 - 1
Atlético Tordesillas
TOR
51%
23%
25%
30 29 1 +1

Matches

Arandina
Arandina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
ACF
Arandina
1 - 1
Palencia CF
PAL
76%
16%
9%
36 22 14 0
22 Jan. 2023
AVI
Real Ávila
1 - 1
Arandina
ACF
36%
25%
39%
37 32 5 -1
15 Jan. 2023
ACF
Arandina
3 - 0
Unami CP
UNA
72%
17%
11%
36 22 14 +1
08 Jan. 2023
ACF
Arandina
0 - 0
Ponferradina B
PON
78%
15%
8%
37 21 16 -1
18 Dec. 2022
MIR
Mirandés B
2 - 3
Arandina
ACF
32%
26%
42%
36 30 6 +1
X