Almagro vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 2
ALM
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
BUC
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 2
MOR
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
ALM
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 2
SMA
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
SAR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 3
RSA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 1
SAR
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
RIE
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |