Almagro vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALM
40%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 0
ALM
27%
28%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 2
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
RIE
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 2
PLA
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |