Almagro vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
ALM
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 3
TAL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
RAF
4 - 1
ALM
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 1
HUR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALD
0 - 2
ALM
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
DYJ
3 - 1
GOD
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FER
2 - 1
DYJ
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DYJ
5 - 1
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
JAN
1 - 0
DYJ
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 0
DYJ
31%
28%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |