Almagro vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
GIM
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
MOR
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
46%
30%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
DAL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 3
BAR
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |