Almagro CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
68.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAR
4 - 3
ALM
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
TAL
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
MOR
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
ALM
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
UDS
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDS
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 1
CPC
64%
21%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
AVI
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 2
NAV
44%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
CDT
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |