Alloa Athletic vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ALL
0 - 6
ICT
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ALL
0 - 1
QOS
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ROS
0 - 1
ALL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
ALL
0 - 2
HIB
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
STJ
0 - 0
LIV
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ICT
2 - 1
STJ
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
STJ
2 - 0
STM
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
STJ
0 - 1
CLY
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FAL
1 - 0
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |