Alloa Athletic vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
ALL
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 2
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
ALL
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
ICT
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ICT
0 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ICT
2 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 1
ICT
36%
26%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ICT
2 - 0
AYR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |