Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
4º
64
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 1
ALL
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
9%
18%
72%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 1
CLY
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
1 - 2
EDI
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 2
AIR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FAL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CLY
0 - 0
FAL
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |