Alloa Athletic vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BER
2 - 2
ALL
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 0
QUE
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
ALL
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
THE
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
ALL
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ELG
1 - 1
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
QUE
3 - 1
ELG
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ELG
1 - 1
QUE
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
THE
1 - 1
ELG
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
ELG
3 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |