Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
4º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
ALL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 1
ALL
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
CLY
77%
17%
7%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
QOS
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
10%
20%
70%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |