Alloa Athletic vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
CLY
2 - 2
ALL
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FAL
3 - 1
ALL
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ALL
1 - 2
STJ
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
ALL
3 - 2
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CLY
3 - 0
AYR
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
AYR
0 - 1
QOS
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
AYR
0 - 1
STJ
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 2
AYR
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |