Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROS
2 - 0
ALL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
ALL
2 - 0
STI
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ALL
4 - 3
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 0
ALL
33%
25%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALL
0 - 1
AIR
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
DUN
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 3
ABE
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
STI
1 - 1
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARB
3 - 2
ELG
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |