Aljaraque CD vs Puerto Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDR
5 - 3
ALJ
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
CDG
15%
21%
65%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UDT
1 - 3
ALJ
57%
22%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OVA
3 - 1
ALJ
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 1
ALG
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 2
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JER
5 - 1
ARC
59%
23%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
4 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAZ
3 - 0
ARC
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |