Alianza vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
7º
5º
29
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDP
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
JOC
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
FUE
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 2
MET
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
MUN
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 0
MET
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |