Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 0
ALI
10%
21%
70%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALI
4 - 3
CEV
74%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
MET
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
IND
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAS
50%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
JOC
1 - 2
FAS
18%
30%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |