Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAL
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CDA
1 - 0
ALI
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 2
FIR
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
MON
4 - 1
FAS
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
FAS
0 - 0
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 3
FAS
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FAS
5 - 1
CDA
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |