CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 1-3
Alianza vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JOC
3 - 3
ALI
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
27%
22%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALI
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
ATL
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SLC
2 - 0
COM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COM
3 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |