Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDP
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 3
ALI
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
COM
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JOC
3 - 3
ALI
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CDP
2 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MET
1 - 4
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
MUN
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
FAS
25%
28%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |