Alianza vs Atlético Balboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 3
ALI
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ALI
6 - 2
CDD
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 4
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ALI
1 - 3
FIR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Balboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
BAL
0 - 2
AGU
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FAS
2 - 3
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
BAL
0 - 0
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 0
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |