Alianza Universidad vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 0
AUN
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
GAR
0 - 1
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 2
PIR
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |