Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
AUN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 1
AUN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 0
SBO
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 3
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UTC
3 - 0
FCS
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 2
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
SCJ
1 - 2
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 1
EST
86%
11%
4%
|
64 | 12 | 52 | 0 |