Alianza FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 3
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |