Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIV
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
AYA
3 - 2
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
UTC
3 - 4
HUA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
UTC
3 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
UTC
0 - 0
AGP
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |