Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 1
ALI
36%
31%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 2
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 0
UTC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 3
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
4 - 0
UTC
52%
28%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |